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Looking to keep streak alive on Jets bets

We’re on a roll on Jets bets, hitting on six of the eight games this season, including the past five. Losses to Jacksonville and Minnesota were Locks of the Week and last week at Chicago was a Best Bet. Sunday’s game at Miami is a much tougher call.

The Dolphins beat the Jets, 20-12, in Week 2 as part of a 3-0 start. Those high hopes have faded in a 1-4 stretch in which Miami has given up 33.4 points per game. The Dolphins were utterly defenseless against the Texans and Deshaun Watson in a Week 8 Thursday night rout.

The Jets defense had some good moments in the 37-17 loss to the Vikings and 24-10 defeat at the Bears, keeping the games close until it became clear the team wasn’t going to score enough points to win.

Sam Darnold has been OK, even as his supporting cast has been depleted and some easy passes dropped. But Darnold has been learning how to better use the people he does have, and has developed quite a rapport with rookie tight end Chris Herndon.

The Jets can win this game if Darnold ups his game and gets a weapon or two back. He’d be helped if the defense could create a few turnovers from Brock Osweiler, the former train wreck who is starting in place of the injured Ryan Tannehill. It’s a team game, and the Jets can get to 5-5 at the bye if they can get this one and next week’s home game versus the Bills.

The pick: Jets +3.

VIKINGS (-5) over Lions: Detroit is 3-0 against the spread on the road this season, but that was quite a no-show at home versus Seattle last week, and the trade of Golden Tate to Philadelphia doesn’t help a team that’s on the edge of contention at 3-4.

Chiefs (-8¹/₂) over BROWNS: The firing of Hue Jackson, who went 3-36-1 as Browns coach, may liberate the team in some ways. But with offensive coordinator Todd Haley also gone, Baker Mayfield is on to his third offensive voice in Freddie Kitchens. Can’t imagine them staying in the same zip code as the nuclear Chiefs, even with Tyreek Hill dealing with a groin injury.

PANTHERS (-6¹/₂) over Buccaneers: Carolina is coming off outright underdog wins versus the Eagles and Ravens and is often a risky bet at this favorite price. For Tampa Bay, Ryan Fitzpatrick is often FitzMagic when cleaning up Jameis Winston’s mess and FitzTragic when he gets the starting job.

Steelers (+3) over RAVENS: The Steelers offense has picked it up of late, scoring 41, 28 and 33 the past three weeks — all wins and covers. The Ravens are in a 1-3 SU and ATS valley in which they’ve scored an average of 18.5 ppg. Also it’s a fairly quick revenge match after Baltimore’s 26-14 win at Pittsburgh in Week 4.

REDSKINS (-1¹/₂) over Falcons: Alex Smith has made the Redskins less of a wildly up-and-down team, along with a defense that’s No. 5 in the NFL at 19.1 ppg allowed. Atlanta has played five of seven games at home, losing 18-12 at the Eagles and 41-17 at the Steelers. This is another tough spot for Matt Ryan and Julio Jones.

Bears (-10) over BILLS: The Buffalo defense is good enough to seriously consider taking the double-digit spread at home versus a Chicago team that isn’t used to being so heavily favored. The sense here, though, is the Bills put everything they had into the Patriots game, and there will be a letdown on a short week which coincides with Nathan Peterman taking over as quarterback. Not pretty.

Texans (+1) over BRONCOS: Not only did the Texans add Demaryius Thomas at the trade deadline, they get all of his knowledge about his former team and this week’s opponent. Houston has won five in a row, allowing 17.5 ppg over the past four. Denver’s Case Keenum seems to be returning to his journeyman form of before his breakout season in Minnesota.

SEAHAWKS (-1¹/₂) over Chargers: Just the third home game for Seattle, which beat the Cowboys, 24-13, and lost, 33-31, to the undefeated Rams. They went into the bye with a London rout of the Raiders and came out of it with a strong, 28-14 win at Detroit. Not yet for Joey Bosa’s return to the Chargers.

Rams (Pick) over SAINTS: This column loves the Saints and picks them almost every week. Was hoping to get them in a sweet home-underdog spot here, but the line has moved, and now the value is with the NFL’s lone undefeated team as a pick’em.

PATRIOTS (-5¹/₂) over Packers: If Rams-Saints is the game of the day, this is the game of the night. Aaron Rodgers covered as an underdog at the Rams (and should have had a chance for a game-winning drive). This is a tough ask to do it again at Foxborough with a cross-county trip in between. Patriots have failed to cover in only one of their wins (beating KC by three as 3¹/₂ -point favorites).


COWBOYS (-5¹/₂) over Titans: Tennessee is usually a pesky underdog, yet am willing to give the Cowboys a roll at this price in Amari Cooper’s first game wearing the star. He’s been a disappointment, but just the threat of potentially having a No. 1 receiver changes the equation for Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott and Jason Garrett.

Best bets: Chiefs, Steelers, Texans.
Lock of the week: Chiefs (Locks 6-2 in 2018).
Last week: 7-7 overall, 3-0 Best Bets.
Thursday night: 49ers (W).

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